Forward testing is performed either on a demo account or on a very small (micro) live account. During such tests, you trade normally with your strategy as if you were trading your live account. As with backtesting, forward testing can also be automated. In this case, you would need to create a trading robot or expert advisor to execute your system. Of course, with discretionary strategy, you are limited solely to manual testing. Forward testing results are considered to be more useful and representative than those of the backtests.
This forex trading strategy takes advantage of the momentum of the market that is currently prevalent. Any market sentiment is a sum total of all the traders’ prevalent sentiments. This ultimately results in the forex market moving in a specific direction. Market sentiment is a very important aspect and traders should learn to read or feel the same in order to successfully trade currencies. Sometimes it is easy to understand the sentiment, but some other it may not be very obvious.
This strategy leverages early market moves of certain highly liquid currency pairs. The GBPUSD and EURUSD currency pairs are some of the best currencies to trade using this particular strategy. After the 7am GMT candlestick closes, traders place two positions or two opposite pending orders. When one of them gets activated by price movements, the other position is automatically cancelled.
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Divergence is a tool that helps the traders to learn the price behavior of the currency. This analysis generates patterns that will help to predict the direction of movement of the currency rates. Divergence, a leading indicator, helps traders to significantly increase their profits. This is because the likelihood of trading in the right direction and at the right time increases if this indicator is used along with others such as Moving Averages, Stochastics, RSI, Support and Resistance levels, etc.
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The forex trading strategy Carry Trade is different from other forex strategies. While most of the Forex trading strategies follow the concept “buy low/sell high”, Carry Trade relies mainly on the difference in interest rate between the currencies. This means that forex traders can make profit even if the market is stable. When employing this strategy, traders buy a currency with a high differential ratio, meaning the interest rate of the currency they buy will be higher than that of the currency they sell.
Fair Value strategy made use of in various financial markets. In the forex market, the fair value of a currency is determined based on the economic situation in a country. In order to use this forex strategy, traders must have an understanding about a few basic related to the economy, especially the GDP growth of the two economies whose currencies they plan to buy and sell. Other aspects to be considered include the unemployment rate and the inflation data.
Backtesting is a kind of a strategy test performed on the past data. It can be either automated or manual. For automated backtesting, a special software should be coded. Automated testing is more precise but requires a fully mechanical trading system to test. Manual testing is slow and can be rather inaccurate, but requires no extra programming and can be done without any special preparation process. Any backtesting results should be taken with a grain of salt as the tested strategy might have been created to fit particular backetsting historical data.
There is an additional rule for trading when the market state is more favourable to the system. This rule is designed to filter out breakouts that go against the long-term trend. In short, you look at the 25-day moving average (MA) and the 300-day moving average. The direction of the shorter moving average determines the direction that is permitted. This rule states that you can only go:
Some of the other best forex trading strategies are based on the technical analysis. This method is particularly important in day trading. Technical analysis is useful to traders in that it gives them an indication of times when they can enter or exit the market. It also helps the trader to make the most out of the existing market status. Given below are brief explanations of some of the technical analysis based trading strategies.
The main categories of forex strategies used by traders include: Fundamental Strategies, Technical Strategies and Popular Strategies. Fundamental forex trading strategies are dependent on the fundamental economic indicators of a nation and other political events that happen in a nation. Technical forex trading strategies rely on the statistical and mathematical models of the currency prices and the analysis thereof. Popular trading strategies are always a combination of the fundamental and technical analyses.
The forex market is a very volatile market. When the market is volatile, traders get lessons on how to hedge, develop and acquire broad/diverse portfolios, and act on low leverage to exploit the prevailing market condition. There are two different types of volatility. They are historical and implied volatility. The former refers to the normal price action with respect to a period of time (say, a month or year). Abnormal current and future price action is referred to as implied volatility. It often exceeds the historical range when compared with the historical price action.
The ‘Elliot Wave Theory’, named after Ralph Elliot, is one of the oldest forex strategies. He analyzed the stock price data for around 70 years and found out that human psychology (emotions, fear and greed) drove the market and that it moved iteratively. This is to say that the market switches between optimistic and pessimistic modes. In this strategy, the motive phase unfurls in 5 steps.
Apart from the entry/exit rules and optional money management guidelines, strategies are often characterized by the list of trading tools required to employ the given strategy. These tools are usually charts, technical or fundamental indicators, some market data or anything else that can be used in trading. When choosing a strategy, you need to understand, which of the required tools you have in possession.