Backtesting is a kind of a strategy test performed on the past data. It can be either automated or manual. For automated backtesting, a special software should be coded. Automated testing is more precise but requires a fully mechanical trading system to test. Manual testing is slow and can be rather inaccurate, but requires no extra programming and can be done without any special preparation process. Any backtesting results should be taken with a grain of salt as the tested strategy might have been created to fit particular backetsting historical data.
Any nation’s central bank, adjusts the rates of interest from time to time in order to contain or curb the inflationary trends. This, in turn, has a definitive effect on the currency market and traders assume trading positions accordingly. The central bank of a country does not act as it is a solid body. The interest rate is increased or decreased based on the vote cast by the members of the monetary policy committee. The number of members monetary committee varies from one bank to another. If the interest rate is cut, there will be more money in circulation. This makes it cheaper. If the interest rate is hiked, its value increases.
However you decide to test your strategy, you need to understand the results you get. Intuitively, you would want to judge the results according to strategy's profitability, but you should not forget about other important parameters of successful trading strategies. They are: low drawdown sizes, short drawdown periods, high probability of winning, high average reward-to-risk ratios and big number of trades. Ideally, your system should earn equally well on bullish and bearish trades, the resulting balance curve should be consistent and uniform, without significant drops or long flat periods.
Yep, why continue to be a realtor with that kind of 99% win rate. She would be doing better than “Karen” the supertrader and have big money investors dump hundreds of millions for her to trade with. All these ts reviews have proven none/99.99% of these sham artists don’t trade live or have stopped trying to trade live-losing in the years since they successfully procured a “consistent” periodic churn of dupes.
Peter, himself, learned how to trade in the early days of his career from some of the top traders in reputable trading houses. Peter spent an 18-month period learning anything and everything he could about trading the Forex. Over time, he developed his instincts for a simple yet powerful Forex trading system based on his Pivot program which has been continuously refined over the years. His system consists of the same techniques used by many trading houses today.